NOTE: this blog is no longer active as of 12/07. New one: http://blog.kirchhof.com
Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum viditur.
I just sent this to my friend Tracy, who expressed concern (and amazement) at the polling numbers being reported in the major media. I guess that it's worth a post here as well.
I addressed the polling questions that you mentioned, a few days back in my weblog; it's here if you want to read Jimmy Breslin's take on it.
The main thing is that "likely voters" (to pollsters) are voters that voted in the last three elections. In this election, that is absurd. Several tens of millions of first-time voters have registered in the last three months, and they are overwhelmingly young, informed, and liberal in their political views. And those that didn't bother to vote in the last school board election (or whatever) are absolutely motivated to get to the polls in this election. So pollsters have already ignored a huge segment of the voting public - a segment that will overwhelmingly vote democratic.
The second issue with polling is that they do not poll cell phones. Again, this segment of the population -- 169 million cells nationwide, with 22 million using the cell as their *only* phone -- tend to be better informed and better educated. And the "only a cell phone" crowd is overwhelmingly young, liberal, and motivated.
Third, and most important, the polls are all over the map this year. On Sept. 12th, Time had Bush up by 12 points, while Zogby had him up by 2. On the 15th, Gallup had him up by 13, and Democracy Corps had him up by 1. (See http://pollingreport.com if you're into the details on this one.) These disparities indicate a profoundly broken polling model. The bottom line is that polls are meaningless this year, because demographics have changed dramatically in the last few years, and the pollsters have no idea how to get a representative sample. If you are going to call only land-line phones of people who voted in the last three elections, you are going to get an unrepresentative sample of home-bound, generally older people in the mix. They tend to (statistically) skew towards conservative in their political views.
Remember: Bush lost by half a million of the popular votes in 2000, and liberal turnout was lackadaisical at best. I don't think that Bush has converted many liberals to his side -- but he surely has motivated a huge number of liberals to get to the polls and vote democratic this season. The 3 million Nader voters from 2000 are *overwhelmingly* back in the Dems camp as well -- even Nader's 2000 senior campaign staffers have endorsed Kerry.
Additionally, Bush has lost Republicans to some extent, although it's hard to get a clear bead on this one. Are you aware that one in eight Texas Republicans voted "uncommitted" -- e.g., for "not Bush" -- in the Texas Republican Presidential Primary this year? And that's on his erstwhile home turf. In the Idaho primary, it was one in nine. It's anyone's guess how this plays out in the popular vote, but you can bet that Karl Rove is ordering Tums by the case lot.
I think that we may be in for a blockbuster of a pleasant surprise on November 2nd - maybe not a 1932 Roosevelt-Hoover train wreck, but Bush is in a LOT more trouble than big-shop national polling firms indicate -- because polling firms and their statistical models have been bypassed by national lifestyle changes.
A little-known fact: the Democrats are depositing 50,000 checks a day from politically motivated contributors. That bears repetition: 50,000 a *day.* This is utterly unprecedented -- completely off the scale in political fundraising history.
But don't get complacent -- make this information motivate you! Make sure all of your friends vote. Give people rides on Nov 2nd. Call 'em. Remind 'em.
In Texas, new voters have until end of day on October first to register to vote in the November 2nd election. That is essentially *this Friday* at 5:00 PM when they lock the County Clerk's office. Ask around -- and Get People Registered.
Forward this along to anyone you care to.
[Update: "several tens of millions" of new registrants is probably an exaggeration; it appears to be approaching 9-10 million as far as I can discern, from an informal sampling of Offices of the Secretary of State and voter reg sites.
And, by the way, you can verify that you are registered in Texas by calling (800) 252-VOTE. Other states have different phone numbers; you can get yours at JustVote.]
Posted at 12:58 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
The St. Pete Times has an excellent column online entitled "When five voted for millions." It's a recap of how the supreme court installed our President into office back in 2000. It remains a completely indefensible decision, ranking up there with Dred Scott as an all-time low point.
For a more detailed legal examiniation of this issue, Vincent Bugliosi's None Dare Call It Treason in The Nation remains one of the very best contemporaneous analyses. It was published a month after the Bush v Gore decision.
Heads up, people. Another election is coming, and these same ethically-bereft people are still in power.
Posted at 10:01 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Posted at 11:30 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
With the latest Detroit convictions overturned, Ashcroft has not convicted a single person of terrorism since 9/11.
On Sept. 2 a federal judge in Detroit threw out the only jury conviction the Justice Department has obtained on a terrorism charge since 9/11. In October 2001, shortly after the men were initially arrested, Attorney General John Ashcroft heralded the case in a national press conference as evidence of the success of his anti-terror campaign. The indictment alleged that the defendants were associated with al Qaeda and planning terrorist attacks. But Ashcroft held no news conference in September when the case was dismissed, nor did he offer any apologies to the defendants who had spent nearly three years in jail. That wouldn't be good for his boss' campaign, which rests on the "war on terrorism." Here, as in Iraq, Bush's war is not going as well as he pretends.
Let's be more specific. Not one of the more than 5000 human beings rounded up and held for years without representation, communication, or recourse have been convicted. The overwhelming majority haven't even been charged.
Are you proud to be an American today? They are, after all, doing this in your name and with your leave...
Posted at 11:08 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Secrecy In The Bush Administration
The Minority Staff of the House Committee on Government Reform has released their report, commissioned by Rep. Henry Waxman, entitled Secrecy In The Bush Administration.
It's worth attention, if only to see for yourself how much power the executive branch has to destroy implementation of Congress' clear intent in law, and especially in sunshine laws.
It's the key, gang. Bush can't do his damage without secrecy -- if he tried most of what he's doing in the open, he'd be run out of town wearing a fresh suit of tar and feathers -- and he can't do his paranoid secrecy without a whole collection of executive-directive "findings."
Open government is mandatory in a democracy.
Posted at 08:25 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
A very nice place to spend time: American Art Archives.
Posted at 14:13 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Andrew Tobias (yes, that Andrew Tobias) has a very heartening and very long column today on why we're going to win. The whole thing is worth a read; here are some selected excerpts:
We're going to win, first of all (before getting into turn-out, the Electoral College, Florida and all of that), because over the next 46 days, as voters begin to really focus, they will conclude that on the issues they care about, President Bush has not served us well.
Take jobs. After 9/11, and after he knew we were in a recession and after the eruption of corporate scandals, President Bush announced that his policies would create 6 million new jobs during his presidency. Instead, we will have lost 1 million jobs -- a swing of 7 million worse than he promised -- not least because it turns out that giving the biggest tax cuts to those who need them least is not the best way to rev up the economy. (Could anyone, including President Bush, actually have believed that it was?)
We didn't reelect Herbert Hoover -- the last president to lose jobs on his watch -- and were not going to reelect George Bush.
[...]
We won last time when Democrats were largely complacent. Things always seemed to get a little better every year (it's human nature for the previous eight years to feel like always) so what difference did it make? Well, now the difference is apparent. Democratic turn-out will be enormous. We saw unprecedented turn-out in the primaries and we are seeing direct-mail results that have direct-mail consultants slack-jawed. We are depositing 50,000 checks a day. Millions of new voters are registering, and Democrats who haven't voted for years plan to come out this time.
Last time, we got 51 million votes -- 537,000 more than Governor Bush despite 3 million votes that went to Nader. Nader voters are almost all well-meaning and smart. My firm belief is that in swing states where it matters they will not fail to do all they can to fire George Bush. As reported here Tuesday, two-thirds of Nader's 2000 leadership group have already signed onto a statement urging everyone in swing states to vote for Kerry.
[...]
We've begun to fight back. If you saw James Carville on the Today Show last week or have heard Paul Begala lately or caught Joe Lockhart on TV, you know the Campaign has expanded to include some very talented tough veterans of the Clinton campaigns. Was this a shake-up? Whether you call it an expansion or a shake-up, Carville cut to the heart of it: John Kerry sees a problem and fixes it. George Bush sees a problem and denies it. What kind of leader would you rather have?
[...]
Our guy is a fighter, and his pattern, in campaign after campaign, is to hang back and finish strong. And win. Mock his Navy years if you will, while insisting that Bush served honorably. (Bush had no doubts about the Vietnam War he was all for it, so long as he didn't have to actually fight in it.) But this is a guy who volunteered to face death for months and who turned his boat into oncoming gunfire and attacked the enemy head on. So he may not be quite the indecisive wimp Dick Cheney and the rest of the team are having so much fun portraying him as.
There's plenty there. I am not much on triumphalism this far away from the election (or anytime, really -- knock wood early and often), but good points are made here, and it deserves attention.
Just don't let it create any complacency.
Posted at 17:56 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Jimmy Breslin makes what I think are some very compelling points in this column:
Anybody who believes these national political polls are giving you facts is a gullible fool.
Any editors of newspapers or television news shows who use poll results as a story are beyond gullible. On behalf of the public they profess to serve, they are indolent salesmen of falsehoods.
This is because these political polls are done by telephone. Land-line telephones, as your house phone is called.
The telephone polls do not include cellular phones. There are almost 169 million cell phones being used in America today - 168,900,019 as of Sept. 15, according to the cell phone institute in Washington.
There is no way to poll cell phone users, so it isn't done.
Not one cell phone user has received a call on their cell phone asking them how they plan to vote as of today.
Out of 168 million, anything can happen. Midway through election night, these stern-faced network announcers suddenly will be frozen white and they have to give a result:
"It appears that the winner of the election tonight is ... Milford J. Schmitt of New Albany, Ind. He presently has 56 percent of the vote, placing him well ahead of John Kerry, George Bush and another newcomer, Gibson D. Mills of Corvallis, Ore. It appears the nation's voting habits have been changed unbeknownst to us. Mr. Schmitt was asked what party he is in. He answered, 'The winning party.'"
Those who have both cell phones and land lines still might have been polled the old way - on their land lines by people making phone calls with scientifically weighted questions and to targeted areas for some big pollster. These results are announced by the pollsters: "CBS-New York Times poll shows George Bush and John Kerry in a statistical dead heat in the presidential race."
Beautiful. There are 169 million phones that they didn't even try. This makes the poll nothing more than a fake and a fraud, a shill and a sham. The big pollster doesn't know what he has. The television and newspaper brilliants put it out like it is a baseball score. Except not one person involved can say that they truly know what they are talking about.
Posted at 11:13 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
From ACSBlog:
Iraq War "Illegal," Declares UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan
Kafi Annan told the BBC, "I have indicated [the Iraq War] was not in conformity with the UN charter from our point of view, from the charter point of view, it was illegal." Annan added, "I think there has been lessons for the US and there has been lessons for the UN and other member states and I think in the end everybody is concluding that it is best to work together with our allies and through the UN to deal with some of these issues. And I hope we do not see another Iraq-type operation for a long time."
Huge.
Posted at 10:45 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Slashdot has a link to Nature magazine's questions to our presidential candidates and their answers. It took about ten seconds to elicit an involuntary horse laugh out of me when reading Bush's answers. Example:
Q: Recent months have seen various charges of political bias against scientific panels that advise the US government at different levels.What would you do to ensure that your administration receives genuinely impartial scientific advice?
Bush: My administration has a strong commitment to the highest scientific standards in decision-making. On issues ranging from climate change to nanotechnology, I have sought out the best scientific minds inside and outside the government for policy input and advice, especially the independent National Academies. My commitment to sound, independent scientific advice is unwavering. And my senior science adviser in the White House, John Marburger, happens to be a Democrat.
Go read it. There's a PDF of the whole thing here if you don't want to do the flash version.
Truly surreal. It's as if most of the Bush responses were written by the comedy staff of the Daily Show.
Posted at 10:10 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
So you think it's your computer? They don't.
My buddy Frank over in Germany just sent me links to a couple of articles; a fellow at Sans took the time to do a fresh install of XP Home Edition, and then went to some selected gaming sites. He traces down all of the spyware and malware that gets installed by simply visiting the wrong web page using Internet Explorer.
Now, I realize that the people who will not take the time to read these articles are exactly the ones who need to, but this is my pathetic little attempt at enlightening the world and doing a public service. So read these, especially if you're not interested in computer geekery. Really. Please.
Article one of "Follow the Bouncing Malware" is here, and article two here. Once you've read them, you'll understand why you should be browsing with Mozilla Firefox, and why you should install Ad Aware, and why you should install WinPatrol, and why you should install Spybot S&D.
Thank you, and thanks, Frank.
[Update] If you're into geekery, the Handler's Diary is a very good daily read; I just poked around it a bit. And added it to my "morning musts" bookmark folder.
Posted at 09:55 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Bush misses the filing deadline in Florida -- but it doesn't matter.
I think that the Dems should hire a skilled partisan litigator (a James Baker type) and go to court to keep him off the ballot. You can bet your eyeteeth the Republicans would in a turnabout situation.
Posted at 10:49 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
It seems that, increasingly, my conservative friends are forwarding along pep-rally e-mail that stresses Bush's "strong leadership" and "decisive action" (etc) as the primary talking point. I have a few thoughts on the matter.
You'll get no argument from me about his leadership and decision making skills. The problem is that he makes "decisive" mistakes based upon false assumptions and then boldly and promptly "leads" us down blind alleys into deathtraps that could easily be avoided with even a modicum of common sense and sober reflection. And when new data appears, it is ignored, or massaged into a more ideologically acceptable subset, or outright re-fabricated into a falsity to support a wrong decision. Finally, when the political wind blows against him, he promptly does an about face, runs to the head of the line, and "leads" in the other direction. Witness homeland security, the 9/11 panel, medicare, and a host of other policy about-faces in his administration.
"Decisive leadership" without correct decisions based upon factual data is worse than bad -- it is the very definition of incompetence. After all, George Custer was a strong leader who was known for decisive action.
Thanks for the e-mail, guys. Keep those talking points coming in.
Posted at 09:22 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
The so-called republican senators are seriously considering trying something truly revolutionary to accomplish their goal of stacking the judiciary with right-wing judges. They are planning to have the senate chair (Dick Cheney) declare filibusters to be "unconstitutional." Read more from the American Constitution Society:
To achieve this result, Frist would invoke a controversial procedural maneuver known as "the nuclear option." Under this procedure, the person chairing the Senate, presumably Vice President Cheney, would rule that filibusters of judicial nominations are unconstitutional. Nuclear option proponents contend that only a simple majority vote (51 senators) of the Senate would be needed to approve that ruling - despite the fact that Senate rules require a 3/5 vote (60 senators) to stop a filibuster and a 2/3 vote (67 senators) to amend filibuster procedures. Their ploy would simply be to exploit their control of the chair to overrule or ignore Democratic objections. Then they could proceed to vote on - and, presumably, narrowly confirm - each of the would-be Bush federal judges stalled to date because Republicans could not find the 60 + votes needed to cut off debate.
Read the full post.
These are the most corrupt people that I have ever seen infesting our government.
Posted at 18:35 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
"If the price of ignorance ever goes to forty dollars a barrel, I want drillin' rights on that man's head." -- Jim Hightower
Posted at 09:29 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
My old friend Wilby is doing some pretty amazing computer artwork these days out in Hawaii. Check it out. Very neat stuff.
Posted at 12:15 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Josh Marshall has a very plain-spoken and hard hitting article at The Hill's website entitled "His moral cowardice has guided him all along." Required reading. Some selected excerpts:
The president didn't think he could convince the public of the merits of his reasons for going to war. So he and his key advisers lied to them. He greatly exaggerated what was thought to be the evidence of weapons of mass destruction and completely manufactured a connection between Iraq and al Qaeda. He couldn't get the country behind him on the up-and-up. So he took the easy way out; he took a shortcut; he deceived them. And now the country is paying a terrible price for it.
He and his advisers knew that if they leveled with the public about the costs of war in dollars, years, soldiers he'd have a very hard time convincing them. So he didn't level with them. He took the easy way out.
The sort of forward planning that would have made a big difference in postwar Iraq was scuttled or derided because it made the job of selling the war harder. Those who sounded the alarm had their careers cut short.
Once we were in Iraq and it was clear that we had been wrong about the weapons of mass destruction a -- judgment thats been clear for more than a year -- the president refused to admit it. And he still hasn't. A year and a half after we invaded Iraq and he still can't level with the American people about this simple and now obvious reality. He still relies on his vice president to try to fool people into thinking Saddam Hussein was tied to al Qaeda and the Sept. 11 attacks.
More important, once it became clear that the president's plans for postwar Iraq were producing poor results, he refused to shift policy or to reshuffle his team. He refused to demand accountability from his own team because of how it would have reflected on him. He has preferred to continue on with demonstrably failed policies because to do otherwise would be to admit hed made a mistake and open himself up to all the political fallout that would entail. That was something he wasn't willing to do.
The stubborn refusal ever to change course, which the president tries to pass off as a sign of leadership or devotion to principle, is actually an example of his cowardice.
It's a true pleasure to see someone actually talk common sense in the midst of this kindergarten-level taunting that we have come to accept as legitimate political discourse.
Posted at 11:47 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Some folks are born made to wave the flag,
Ooh, they're red, white and blue.
And when the band plays "Hail To The Chief",
Oh, they point the cannon at you, Lord,
It ain't me, it ain't me,
I ain't no senator's son,
It ain't me, it ain't me,
I ain't no fortunate one, no,
Some folks are born silver spoon in hand,
Lord, don't they help themselves, oh.
But when the taxman come to the door,
Lord, the house look a like a rummage sale, yes,
It ain't me, it ain't me,
I ain't no millionaire's son.
It ain't me, it ain't me,
I ain't no fortunate one, no.
Yeh, some folks inherit star spangled eyes,
Ooh, they send you down to war, Lord,
And when you ask them, how much should we give,
Oh, they only answer, more, more, more, yoh,
It ain't me, it ain't me,
I ain't no military son,
It ain't me, it ain't me,
I ain't no fortunate one,
It ain't me, it ain't me,
I ain't no fortunate one, no no no,
It ain't me, it ain't me,
I ain't no fortunate son, no no no,
- John C. Fogerty
Posted at 09:55 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
CBS has now put up an all-but transcript of last night's Bush/TxANG revelations; there's video of the segment there as well.
[I've redacted this paragraph; the white house released copies of the CBS material, and did not sit on their own copies.]
John Aravosis over at AmericaBlog has a great deal of material on these and other related issues. If you want a very detailed, spend-all-day kind of analysis, take a look-see at the AWOL Project.
I guess that we owe a debt of gratitude to the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth. They decided to make Vietnam-era military service a campaign issue, with a nod & a wink from the Bush people. The national media has now, finally, picked up the story with more than perfunctory attention. On this fine morning, RNC Chairman Ed Gillespie is spinning so fast and furious that his arms may come off from the centrifugal force...
UPDATE: CBS has the Barnes interview transcript up now.
'NOTHER UPDATE: Salon weighs in, and it's a very serious piece.
Posted at 09:27 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
If you're a poll wonk, Polling Report is your place, specifically their White House Summary.
They simply take all the important polls and put them into a table with also-important comparitive information. For example, you can see that on the same day/dates that Time had Bush up by ten, Zogby had him up by two. Very useful.
Posted at 12:24 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Nevada Touch-Screen Voting Has Paper Trail
How to do it right:
CARSON CITY, Nev. - Nevada residents became the first in the nation to vote on computers that leave a paper trail, taking part in a primary that produced scattered reports of delays though none of the serious problems that have cast doubt upon electronic voting systems in other states.
A delegation of federal election officials monitored the equipment's debut Tuesday in the state capital as voters cast ballots for congressional candidates, state legislators, school officials and judges. Results matched expectations.
Scattered reports of problems including in Nye, Washoe and Pershing counties delayed vote tabulation, but didn't throw election results into question.
Officials in Nye County couldn't read the data on one computer but weren't overly worried. If they couldn't tease the results out of the machine which held an unknown number of votes they could count paper ballots by hand instead.
"If we can't ever read it, we'll use the paper trail as the backup," said Nye County deputy clerk Laura Zubia, who helped recover the data shortly after midnight. "That's the whole point of the paper trail, isn't it?"
Yes, it is. And mandatory auditing is a procedural requirement:
Voter advocates praised Nevada's system, which requires county registrars to randomly select a small percentage of machines from 1 percent to 3 percent of a county's total and compare printed records with the vote totals taken from computers' memory cartridges after polls close. The paper records (which voters can see through a plastic window but cannot touch or take home) will be kept in county election offices for 22 months and used in case of a recount.
Hear, hear brethren and sistren.
Thanks, Slashdot.
Posted at 12:12 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
A magician was working on a cruise ship in the Caribbean. The audience would be different each week, so the magician allowed himself to do the same tricks over and over again.
There was only one problem: The captain's parrot saw the shows each week and began to understand how the magician did every trick. Once he understood he started shouting in the middle of the show:
"Look, it's not the same hat"
"Look, he is hiding the flowers under the table"
"Hey, why are all the cards the Ace of Spades ?"
The magician was furious but couldn't do anything; it was, after all, the captain's parrot.
One day the ship had an accident and sank. The magician found himself on a piece of wood in the middle of the ocean -- with the parrot, of course.
They stared at each other with hate, but did not utter a word. This went on for a day and another and another.
After a week the parrot said: "OK, I give up. Where's the boat?"
Posted at 10:59 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Science Daily says:
In the Friday 3 September 2004 issue of Science Express, two physicists from Penn State University will announce new experimental evidence for the existence of a new phase of matter, a "supersolid" form of helium-4 with the extraordinary frictionless-flow properties of a superfluid.
Neat. Solid, Liquid, Gas, Plasma, Superfluid, Supersolid?
Posted at 10:10 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Project Censored has released their "most underreported stories list 2005."
Here they are:
#1: Wealth Inequality in 21st Century Threatens Economy and Democracy
#2: Ashcroft vs. the Human Rights Law that Hold Corporations Accountable
#3: Bush Administration Censors Science
#4: High Levels of Uranium Found in Troops and Civilians
#5: The Wholesale Giveaway of Our Natural Resources
#6: The Sale of Electoral Politics
#7: Conservative Organization Drives Judicial Appointments
#8: Cheney's Energy Task Force and The Energy Policy
#9: Widow Brings RICO Case Against U.S. government for 9/11
#10: New Nuke Plants: Taxpayers Support, Industry Profits
#11: The Media Can Legally Lie
#12: The Destabilization of Haiti
#13: Schwarzenegger Met with Enron's Ken Lay Years Before the California Recall
#14: New Bill Threatens Intellectual Freedom in Area Studies
#15: U.S. Develops Lethal New Viruses
#16: Law Enforcement Agencies Spy on Innocent Citizens
#17: U.S. Government Represses Labor Unions in Iraq in Quest for Business Privatization
#18: Media and Government Ignore Dwindling Oil Supplies
#19: Global Food Cartel Fast Becoming hte World's Supermarket
#20: Extreme Weather Prompts New Warning from UN
#21: Forcing a World Market for GMOs
#23: Brazil Holds Back in FTAA Talks, But Provides Little Comfort for the Poor of South America
The original is here. Again, it sure would be nice if our national news media would take the time to do its job.
Posted at 09:37 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
From the AFL-CIO:
I am here to tell you that it's all true.Sept. 3 - As Labor Day approaches, 10 million unemployed U.S. workers still are struggling to find jobs or have given up looking for jobs, according to August unemployment figures released today by the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
The 144,000 new jobs created in August fall far short of many economists predictions and the White House promise of 306,000 new jobs each month when it pushed through the most recent tax cuts. The Bush administration promised in February 2002 that its tax cuts would create some 6 million new jobs between January 2001 and July 2004. Instead, the economy has lost nearly 1 million jobs since President George W. Bush took office in 2001, making it almost certain Bush will become the first president since Herbert Hoover and the Great Depression to end his term with a net job loss.
And increasingly, workers are finding that most of the new jobs being created do not pay as well as the jobs they lost and do not offer health care or retirement security a trend many analysts see as long-term, according to a new AFL-CIO report, Job Quality: Here to Stay?
America and Americas families will not prosper if our job market is dominated by low-wage Wal-Mart-type jobs that don't provide benefits and can't support families, says AFL-CIO President John J. Sweeney. The prolonged jobs crisis has diminished the hopes of skilled workers, even those with multiple degrees, who have watched the decline of quality jobs because of economic policies that benefit corporations over workers.
Posted at 08:54 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Swift Boat Liars for Wingnut Propaganda
My Left Brain does a fine job of collecting all of the falsehoods of the so-called "Swift Boat Veterans for Truth," and their historic connections to both the Bush campaign and John Kerry. They also document a large number of swift boat veterans who are pro-Kerry. Read all about it at this link.
It sure would be nice if our national news media would take the time to do its job.
Posted at 11:18 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Just a reminder. You need to vote, and you need to get your friends to vote. If you need a reason, here is the best one: The next President of the United States will likely appoint no less than four, and more probably six Supreme Court Justices.
Are we clear now? Any questions?
If you are not registered to vote in this election, you are in your final three weeks of eligibility. Do it; now. Please.
Posted at 10:35 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
Gentlemen, start your engines...
Okay. We're starting the home stretch. I've seen, over and over, the whole "just wait" motif from long-time Kerry watchers, saying that he's a fighter, that he's not one to expose his belly or let anything go unanswered.
Well... maybe they're right after all. Kerry appears to (finally!) be ready to do some good old fashioned red-meat politics. Let's hope that he keeps the gloves off for the duration.
Excerpts from an article in the Washington Post this morning:
"I'm not going to have my commitment to defend this country questioned by those who refused to serve when they could have and by those who have misled the nation into Iraq."
...and...
"Let me tell you what I think makes someone unfit for duty. Misleading our nation into war in Iraq makes you unfit to lead this nation. Doing nothing while this nation loses millions of jobs makes you unfit to lead this nation. Letting 45 million Americans go without health care makes you unfit to lead this nation. Letting the Saudi royal family control our energy costs makes you unfit to lead this nation. Handing out billions [in] government contracts without a bid to Halliburton while you're still on their payroll makes you unfit."
...and...
"I'm going to leave it up to the voters whether five deferments makes someone more qualified than two tours of duty."
Nice, nice, very nice.
Posted at 10:05 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]