Epistemic Ingemination

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NOTE: this blog is no longer active as of 12/07. New one: http://blog.kirchhof.com

Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum viditur.

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Sun, 31 Oct 2004

Jot These Down

Election Protection Hotline:

1-866-MYVOTE1 to report problems

1-866-OUR-VOTE (1-866-687-8683) for immediate legal assistance

Posted at 10:19 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Fri, 29 Oct 2004

Kerry And Iraq

If you are a supporter of the invasion of Iraq -- and, yes, there are thoughtful people of this opinion -- then I strongly suggest that you read Bradford Plumer's article on why Kerry is the better choice at this place and time. Kevin Drum does a nice Cliff Notes summary of this excellent and dispassionate article:

Plumer acknowledges up front that (a) Iraq is a mess and there aren't very many good options left at this point, and (b) Kerry is highly unlikely to have much success at "internationalizing" the occupation. I agree on both points. Starting from that realistic assessment, though, he argues that Kerry has several modest but important advantages over Bush that could make all the difference between success and failure in Iraq:

I do disagree with both on one point. I think that Kerry will have much more success than the current punditry zeitgeist seems to expect in internationalizing the effort. For two reasons. One, there is a lot of money to be made, and an enormous amount of trade in the future in building infrastructure and restoring the Iraqi consumer society. The world sees this clearly. And two, most of the world is eager to show their solidarity with the American People once we depose King George II and regain our sanity. I think that we'll be viewed as a good friend who went through a serious crisis and lost their head, like your buddy who went on a week-long bender after his Dad died.

Nations are, in the final run, a lot like people. Madness comes and goes. If this nation has the horse sense to evict the current occupant of the White House, I think that the wonkery mongers will be surprised at the depth of the well of goodwill that still exists out there. We are not alone in this world. But that goodwill is now flatly denied our country -- and would continue to be -- with Little Caesar at the helm.

I strongly urge my hawkish and/or conservative friends to set aside their cement ideology, turn off Rush and Fox, and to think -- really think -- about the good of their nation in the next four days. If you examine the whole of the quilt, rather than pieces of the patchwork, I believe that you may well join me in voting to change our national leadership.

It's been a hell of a bender. Time to clean up.

Posted at 10:13 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


More On Voter Supression

Over at New Donkey, there's a good article. Here are some excerpts:

The latest political news from Ohio is important and instructive. A federal judge in Columbus blocked Republican efforts to force county election boards to review tens of thousands of new voter registrations. Before the ink was dry on the judge's order, the Ohio GOP's top lawyer said the action meant the GOP would challenge such voters at the polls on November 2. "We wanted to have all these questions resolved this week," said attorney Mark Weaver. "Now they won't be resolved until Tuesday, when all of these people are trying to vote. It can't help but create chaos, longer lines and frustration."

In other words, the GOP is using the demise of one prong of its voter supression strategy to pre-justify the other. And I wouldn't be surprised if that's exactly the way they planned it. Now they can can get their "volunteers" out to "create chaos, longer lines and frustration" in minority polling places and sadly say that an "activist judge" who didn't care about voter fraud left them no choice. It's going to get worse, too: mark my words, when Democrats, civil rights attorneys, and voters themselves get visibly angry about this gambit, the GOPers will start whining about "potential violence" at the polls, and even pretend their goons are being intimidated and harassed. If nothing else, it will give them an excuse to go to court to contest Ohio's outcome if the state goes for Kerry.

[...]

He goes on to analyze classic Rove techniques. Very informative, and worth a read. Also worth your attention: this, and a good piece over at Tapped.

Got your cameras ready, brethren and sistren?

Oh, yeah, earlier today yesterday I said below that the GOP was deploying 3400 "poll watchers" in Ohio. That is incorrect. They're deploying 8000 in Ohio, and paying them $100.00 each.

Posted at 09:02 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Whatever It Takes

From Salon, we learn that the new Bush/Cheney ad is a collection of photoshop-esque fakery. Here's a frame, with the telling areas highlighted:

The ad title?

"Whatever It Takes."

Posted at 01:29 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Thu, 28 Oct 2004

Humor

thanks Mary...

Posted at 16:51 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


The First Volley From Jeb

Sigh. From the BBC:

Florida ballot papers go missing

Tens of thousands of postal ballots have gone missing in the US state of Florida, sparking fresh concern over irregularities in the poll campaign.

Authorities are investigating the apparent loss of 58,000 absentee forms in Broward County, north of Miami.

[...]

A police investigation into the missing ballots has not uncovered any indication of criminal wrongdoing.

Meanwhile, the US postal service inspectorate said it was highly unlikely that 58,000 pieces of mail had just disappeared.

[...]

In 2000, Broward gave Al Gore his biggest margin among Florida counties. He won 67% of the vote there, while losing the state to George W Bush by 537 votes.

"It looks like they're trying to steal the vote again," said Diane Glasser, vice-chairwoman of the Florida Democratic Party.

[...]

Posted at 16:35 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Today's Best Lede

From Slate:

A Democratic lawyer friend of mine now teases his Republican clients by asking whether they want "faith-based" advice or "reality-based" advice.

Posted at 13:27 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Voter Intimidation - Very Important

From the Times:

G.O.P. Bid to Contest Registrations in Ohio Is Blocked
By JAMES DAO

Published: October 28, 2004

COLUMBUS, Ohio, Oct. 27 - A federal judge on Wednesday blocked six boards of elections in Ohio from proceeding with hearings into Republican-initiated efforts to knock tens of thousands of registered voters off the voting rolls.

The temporary restraining order issued by Judge Susan J. Dlott of Federal District Court in Cincinnati made it likely that few, and perhaps none, of the challenge hearings would proceed before Election Day, state officials said.

"This is an important victory for all Ohio voters because it means this cynical and desperate effort by the Republican Party to prevent tens of thousands of legal registered voters from casting their votes has backfired," said David Sullivan, a lawyer for the Ohio Democratic Party.

[...]

Folks, this is as real as a heart attack. The National Republican Party is deploying 3400 "poll watchers" in Ohio alone. As I am sure readers here know, you are not required to show anyone except sworn-in election officials any credentials when you vote. Period. If someone outside the polling place tries to intimidate you in any way, they are guilty of a Federal crime. Make sure that everyone you know is aware of this. The elderly and minorities in liberal districts will be targeted by these facists.

Democrats and the blogosphere are responding. The suggestion is to wear some sort of non-specific political wear that identifies you as a liberal and bring a video camera with you. (If you are wearing a Kerry/Edwards or Bush/Cheney or whatever shirt, you'll be allowed to vote, but after that, you'll have to stand at least 100 feet from the polling place door. I think that a Burning Spear t-shirt will be my attire of the day.) After you vote, go back outside, turn your camera on, and observe. If you see these criminal activities going on, stand right beside the "poll watchers" and tell voters that they do not have to produce any credentials or speak to anyone outside of the polling place. Get it on tape. Call the Feds. And put a Republican Racketeer in prison for the good of your country and your democracy.

I am a very fortunate man this election. I am informed, I have access to a camera, I can take Tuesday off, and I happen to live across the street from a polling place in a district that is full of liberals, elderly, and minorities. I fully intend to do exactly what I've described above on Tuesday. I'll probably take a comfortable chair along. And I will not hesitate to file a Federal Voting Rights Act complaint with the FBI on every goon that I see and videotape. If I can get my hands on a cell phone for the day, I will call the FBI at the moment of the act.

It is my humble suggestion that you consider doing the same. We need at least one person (and preferably several) at every polling place in this country on Tuesday. Because they'll likely have someone there waiting for you.

[ Update: this is a surprisingly popular piece. Lots of hits today. One thing to add -- a rethink. I'll wait until the end of the day to vote. That way, if anyone tries to intimidate me, they can go to federal prison for twenty years or so. ]

Posted at 16:38 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Wed, 27 Oct 2004

Paranoia Watch #3

A continuing... series...

The Beeb reports:

Surfers outside the US have been unable to visit the official re-election site of President George W Bush.

The blocking of browsers sited outside the US began in the early hours of Monday morning.

Since then people outside the US trying to browse the site get a message saying they are not authorised to view it.

The blocking does not appear to be due to an attack by vandals or malicious hackers, but as a result of a policy decision by the Bush camp.

Traffic control

The international exclusion zone around georgewbush.com was spotted by net monitoring firm Netcraft which keeps an eye on traffic patterns across many different sites.

Netcraft said that since the early hours of 25 October attempts to view the site through its monitoring stations in London, Amsterdam and Sydney failed.

[...]

thanks, Slashdot...

Posted at 16:52 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Let The Paperless Nightmare Begin

From Albuquerque:

Kim Griffith voted on Thursday -- over and over and over.

She's among the people in Bernalillo and Sandoval counties who say they have had trouble with early voting equipment. When they have tried to vote for a particular candidate, the touch-screen system has said they voted for somebody else.

It's a problem that can be fixed by the voters themselves people can alter the selections on their ballots, up to the point when they indicate they are finished and officially cast the ballot.

For Griffith, it took a lot of altering.

She went to Valle Del Norte Community Center in Albuquerque, planning to vote for John Kerry. "I pushed his name, but a green check mark appeared before President Bush's name," she said.

Griffith erased the vote by touching the check mark at Bush's name. That's how a voter can alter a touch-screen ballot.

She again tried to vote for Kerry, but the screen again said she had voted for Bush. The third time, the screen agreed that her vote should go to Kerry.

She faced the same problem repeatedly as she filled out the rest of the ballot. On one item, "I had to vote five or six times," she said.

Michael Cadigan, president of the Albuquerque City Council, had a similar experience when he voted at City Hall.

Read the full article here...

Side note: this came from Frank. My German friend. In Germany.

Posted at 15:17 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Good Show, Folks

Well over half a million early voters in Travis County as of the 25th...

Posted at 09:43 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Tue, 26 Oct 2004

Wow...

I am not, as a rule, a fan of rap, nor am I a fan of Eminem. But here is a stream of his new video release: "Mosh."

It is one of the most powerful pieces of political protest that I've ever seen. Breathtaking.

UPDATE: Realplayer and Quicktime too.

Posted at 11:28 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Let Us Not Forget

One week from the election. Let's remember how this President gained office. Remember what stopped the ballot recounts in Florida shortly after it seemed that legitimate President Gore had a lead. The "citizens" started what was later called "the preppy riot". Screaming, yelling, pounding on the walls, these "outraged citizens" intimidated the polling officials to halt the court mandated recount. A closer look reveals who they really were. They were bussed and flown in at Republican lawmakers expense. Some even flew in on Tom Delay's private plane.

From the Project for the Old American Century's "What is Facism?" page.

Posted at 09:45 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Epiphany Of A Conservative

THE LAST STRAW

Carl F. Worden

That's it, I've had it.

I've been a registered Republican since I pulled my first lever in a voting booth, and I've voted as a loyal Republican for Republican candidates consistently every year. I am 55 years of age. I am considered a right-wing Christian conservative and strict constitutionist who knows the Framers of the Constitution expected strict adherence to that original document unless and until it is amended.

You don't get much more conservative and constitutionally-minded than I am, and that is why I just cast my Oregon vote-by-mail ballot for Democrat John Kerry as the next president of the United States. So did my wife -- and she's a very independent thinker. I know there are thousands of lifelong Republican/Independent conservatives who are going to do the same thing on November 2nd, because they've written and told me so.

The absolute last straw for me took place at the Bush rally, held in Central Point, Oregon on October 14th. President Bush stayed in Jacksonville, Oregon overnight after the rally, and protesters and police clashed on the streets. I sent out a photo of a Jackson County Sheriff's Deputy, all Nazi'd up in black leather riot control gear and grinning evilly as he shoved a woman holding her 5 year-old daughter. It wasn't the finest hour for local law enforcement, but even that wasn't the last straw for me. No, the last straw for me happened just before the Bush rally itself.

Three local teachers got tickets to the Bush rally, passed all the security checkpoints and scrutiny and got in. They never created or caused a disturbance, and they were perfectly peaceful members of the audience waiting to hear Bush speak. But before they got to hear Bush, they were expelled from the rally by Bush rally staff who objected to the words printed on the T-shirts they were wearing.

No, the words on the T-shirts the ladies were wearing did not disparage Bush, nor did they suggest support for Kerry or any other candidate. The words did not condemn or support the war in Iraq, nor did they slam any Administration policy. No, the T-shirts the three women wore showed an American flag, and under it the words, "Protect Our Civil Liberties". That was all -- I kid you not.

That was it. That was the last straw for me. That was the defining moment I'll never forget. That was my epiphany.

Bryan Platt, Chairman of the Jackson County Republican Central Committee, said he stood 100 percent behind the person who made the decision to exclude the women, removing any doubt that one or two individuals exceeded their authority and blew it. No, it was solid, Republican neo-conservative fascist policy on open display, and the Brown Shirts weren't about to apologize for it. No way.

I am now a man without a political party. I will never again register as a Republican unless the party returns to what it was before the fascists took it over. I'm certainly not a Democrat or a liberal, but I might just register as a Democrat to help them avoid mistakes in the next primary, like running another John Kerry for president. Any moderate, pro-gun southern Democrat would have easily swept Bush aside this election. As it is, the race is so close it could go either way at this point.

My decision to vote for Kerry was a vote to get Bush and his administration out. I could have voted for a third party candidate who couldn't possibly win, but that would have translated into a vote for Bush, and I just couldn't do that. Too many kids in uniform have already been killed and maimed for nothing, and I see it as my primary duty to save as many of them as I can. If my vote for a third party candidate means Bush wins and more kids come home dead and mutilated, then I have abrogated my duty as an American, as a Christian and as a decent human being. I didn't know better during the Vietnam War, when I voted for Nixon twice, but I would be without excuse if I did it again now.

This election is different: In this election, we all have to answer the call to vote wisely. Lives depend on it, and God is watching how we vote as well. When an individual sins, God deals with him individually. When a whole nation sins, God deals with the nation nationally. It's right there in the Bible.

The way I see it, the threat Bush presents is just too great. I know what Bush did with his first four years on good behavior, and so do you. What scares the bejeebers out of me is what Bush would do with four more years with nothing to lose -- and an assumed mandate from the people for what he did the first four. At least a Kerry Administration would be strapped down by a Republican Congress, so I'm not too worried about major gun control bills being passed, and as far as abortion is concerned, it really doesn't matter what a president believes, because that issue is decided only by the Judiciary Branch now.

Regardless of the proclaimed Bush position on abortion, he never issued an executive order banning any form of abortion because he knew such an order would be overturned by the courts. Oh, and that phony Late-Term Abortion Ban Bush signed? It's as good as dead -- and I have a niggling feeling it was intended to be killed even as they wrote it. The lower Federal Courts are already finding it unconstitutional, and why?, because the people who authored it left no possibility for a woman to use late term abortion to save her life, let alone to preserve her health. In lieu of that provision, any first year law student knew the federal courts would overturn it, so why did seasoned lawyers/legislators write it that way? Don't even try to convince me they overlooked something as obvious as that.

I still believe this election is going to Kerry, no matter what the polls predict. Last time, it was so close the Supreme Court had to decide the outcome. This time, a huge number of former Bush Republicans like me have bolted to Kerry. Unless a large number of former Gore supporters are going to vote for Bush this time, I don't see how Bush can get re-elected. Add to that the massive numbers of young voters who are registered to vote for the first time under threat of a draft, and I see Bush being shown the door by more than a close vote. But we'll see...

What I do know is that any party that would find the words, "Protect Our Civil Liberties" offensive or even threatening, is a party I won't belong to anymore.

That was the last straw.

Carl F. Worden

Original is here.

Posted at 09:22 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Mon, 25 Oct 2004

HST

Hunter S. Thompson is still on his game...

Presidential politics is a vicious business, even for rich white men, and anybody who gets into it should be prepared to grapple with the meanest of the mean. The White House has never been seized by timid warriors. There are no rules, and the roadside is littered with wreckage. That is why they call it the passing lane. Just ask any candidate who ever ran against George Bush -- Al Gore, Ann Richards, John McCain -- all of them ambushed and vanquished by lies and dirty tricks. And all of them still whining about it.

That is why George W. Bush is President of the United States, and Al Gore is not. Bush simply wanted it more, and he was willing to demolish anything that got in his way, including the U.S. Supreme Court. It is not by accident that the Bush White House (read: Dick Cheney & Halliburton Inc.) controls all three branches of our federal government today. They are powerful thugs who would far rather die than lose the election in November.

The Republican establishment is haunted by painful memories of what happened to Old Man Bush in 1992. He peaked too early, and he had no response to "It's the economy, stupid."

Which has always been the case. Every GOP administration since 1952 has let the Military-Industrial Complex loot the Treasury and plunge the nation into debt on the excuse of a wartime economic emergency. Richard Nixon comes quickly to mind, along with Ronald Reagan and his ridiculous "trickle-down" theory of U.S. economic policy. If the Rich get Richer, the theory goes, before long their pots will overflow and somehow "trickle down" to the poor, who would rather eat scraps off the Bush family plates than eat nothing at all. Republicans have never approved of democracy, and they never will. It goes back to preindustrial America, when only white male property owners could vote.

Things haven't changed all that much where George W. Bush comes from. Houston is a cruel and crazy town on a filthy river in East Texas with no zoning laws and a culture of sex, money and violence. It's a shabby sprawling metropolis ruled by brazen women, crooked cops and super-rich pansexual cowboys who live by the code of the West -- which can mean just about anything you need it to mean, in a pinch.

[...]

Richard Nixon looks like a flaming liberal today, compared to a golem like George Bush. Indeed. Where is Richard Nixon now that we finally need him?

If Nixon were running for president today, he would be seen as a "liberal" candidate, and he would probably win. He was a crook and a bungler, but what the hell? Nixon was a barrel of laughs compared to this gang of thugs from the Halliburton petroleum organization who are running the White House today -- and who will be running it this time next year, if we (the once-proud, once-loved and widely respected "American people") don't rise up like wounded warriors and whack those lying petroleum pimps out of the White House on November 2nd.

Nixon hated running for president during football season, but he did it anyway. Nixon was a professional politician, and I despised everything he stood for -- but if he were running for president this year against the evil Bush-Cheney gang, I would happily vote for him.

Posted at 12:03 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Pocketbooks Of The Rich And Famous

Who contributed to whom?

Posted at 11:36 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Beyond Incompetent. Criminal.

Washington, DC Kerry-Edwards Senior Advisor Joe Lockhart issued the following statement on reports of missing explosives in Iraq:

Today, the Bush administration must answer for what may be the most grave and catastrophic mistake in a tragic series of blunders in Iraq. How did they fail to secure nearly 380 tons of known, deadly explosives despite clear warnings from the International Atomic Energy Agency to do so? And why was this information unearthed by reporters -- and was it covered up by our national security officials?

These explosives can be used to blow up airplanes, level buildings, attack our troops and detonate nuclear weapons. The Bush administration knew where this stockpile was, but took no action to secure the site. They were urgently and specifically informed that terrorists could be helping themselves to the most dangerous explosives bonanza in history, but nothing was done to prevent it from happening.

This material was monitored and controlled by UN inspectors before the invasion of Iraq. Thanks to the stunning incompetence of the Bush administration, we now have no idea where it is.

We need to know what the administration knew about this and when. We need to know why they failed to safeguard these explosives and keep them out of the hands of our enemies. The National Security Advisor should be at her desk in Washington tomorrow to work this problem and answer these questions, instead of giving speeches in battleground states.

(From Atrios)

Kos sums it up nicely: 380 tons. Less than one pound was used to bring down Pan Am Flight 103. The terrorists hit the mother lode, all thanks to Bush.

Posted at 11:07 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Sun, 24 Oct 2004

This Is Journalism?

The Austin American-Statesman today endorses George W. Bush. I had to read it three times, it is such a mess of equivocations, redundancies, and excuses.

Apparently, the editorial subtext is "Yes, he's an incompetent and dishonest madman who is bankrupting the country and turning it into a police state, but it takes a madman to deal with madmen, and he really ought to do a huge number of things differently, and he should appoint moderates to the supreme court, and we bet he'll change if we re-elect him. And, yes, we know what we're doing here."

Just a breathtakingly stupid, irresponsible piece of work; this would be tossed out of a junior high school journalism class. The rock-dumb lack of credibility is astounding.

Posted at 15:39 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Fri, 22 Oct 2004

More Friday Humor

Banana Republican

Posted at 08:29 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Today's Humor

Q. What's the difference between the Vietnam War and the Iraq War?
A. George W. Bush had a plan to get out of the Vietnam War.

Posted at 08:14 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Thu, 21 Oct 2004

"Because Blood Is Thinner Than Oil"

Bush Relatives For Kerry.

Thanks, Lissa!

Posted at 17:47 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Too, Too Good

From the American-Statesman today:

State District Judge Paul Davis Jr. on Wednesday temporarily froze the corporate accounts of the Associated Republicans of Texas, just two weeks before the Nov. 2 election.

The judge ordered the political action committee, which has existed for three decades, to stop raising and spending corporate money to pay its overhead until after a Nov. 3 hearing on whether ART, as the committee is known, should have raised and spent corporate money in the first place. The committee is not accused of giving corporate dollars to candidates, and the lawsuit does not accuse any candidates of wrongdoing.

Posted at 12:27 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Lefty Rag (well, Forbes, anyway) States The Obvious

From back in July, Forbes Magazine tells us:

Over the years, several studies have shown that the stock market has fared markedly better under Democrats than Republicans. (see: "The Presidential Portfolio") The difference, according to Pedro Santa-Clara and Rossen Valkanov, both professors at the University of California Los Angeles Anderson School of Business, is much too large to be random and cannot be explained by fluctuations in the business cycle. Nor can it be explained by higher interest rates in Republican administrations.

Can you hear me now?

Thanks, Andrew...

Posted at 09:15 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Best Headline Of The Week

Andrew Tobias: "The Fat Lady Has Grasped the Armrests of Her Chair."

Posted at 09:06 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Wed, 20 Oct 2004

Iran Endorses Bush

TEHRAN, Iran - The head of Iran's security council said Tuesday that the re-election of President Bush was in Tehran's best interests, despite the administration's axis of evil label, accusations that Iran harbors al-Qaida terrorists and threats of sanctions over the country's nuclear ambitions.

Historically, Democrats have harmed Iran more than Republicans, said Hasan Rowhani, head of the Supreme National Security Council, Iran's top security decision-making body.

[...]

Posted at 08:43 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Bush's America

CENTRAL POINT, Ore. -- Three Medford school teachers were threatened with arrest and thrown out of the President Bush rally at the Jackson County Fairgrounds Thursday night, after they showed up wearing T-shirts with the slogan "Protect our civil liberties."

[...]

The women got past the first and second checkpoints and were allowed into the Jackson County fairgrounds, but were asked to leave and then escorted out of the event by campaign officials who allegedly told them their T-shirts were "obscene."

[...]

Posted at 08:45 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Local Early Voting

Burnt Orange Report makes an observation today on Travis County Polls:

It's really quite amazing. I can't wait to see the rest of the state's numbers to see if it's just us or not. From the County Clerk's Office...

Travis County Early Vote

Monday: 15,983
Tuesday: 15,857

Mail Ballots received

Monday: 715
Tuesday: 976

Total Daily Vote
Monday: 16,698
Tuesday: 16,833

Total Travis Vote to Date: 33,531

A full 6.06% of this county's voters have already cast their ballots. That didn't happen until Day 5 of early vote in 2000. In fact, the very fact that Day 2's vote total is almost exactly the same as Day 1 is shocking!

Go Homies!

Posted at 08:26 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


State Of The Electorate

There's an article over at Political Strategy worthy of attention. Here's the lede:

This election is not just any old presidential election. To Progressives, it's a matter of life and death.

It will be the difference between global respect for America and multilateral cooperation or increased anti-Americanism and never-ending, preemptive unilateral war...the difference between American values of civil liberty and freedom or curbs on inalienable rights and invasions of privacy...the difference between a future of hope, health, safety, peace and prosperity or one of isolation, violence, debt, and fear.

And this brings me to the reason that we will win in November...

...because we have to.

This 'do or die' perception is what is going to drive progressives and moderates to the polls in record numbers to end the madness. This is why the traditionally apathetic 18-24 year old demographic (Also known as 'Future Casualties of Bush Wars') is going to put down their cell phones long enough to pull the lever for Kerry.

He then goes on to list the "Top 35 Trends that say Kerry will Take the White House in November." These include polling issues, seniors, independents, Soros, 527's, and many other factors.

Just don't let it create any complacency. Vote. And make sure your friends do, too.

Posted at 07:57 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Tue, 19 Oct 2004

Good. Keep going...

Article:

In March 2003, days before the start of the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq, American war planners and intelligence officials met at Shaw Air Force Base in South Carolina to review the Bush administration's plans to oust Saddam Hussein and implant democracy in Iraq.

Near the end of his presentation, an Army lieutenant colonel who was giving a briefing showed a slide describing the Pentagon's plans for rebuilding Iraq after the war, known in the planners' parlance as Phase 4-C. He was uncomfortable with his material - and for good reason.

The slide said: "To Be Provided."

Posted at 00:31 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Sun, 17 Oct 2004

How Very Refreshing

Jon Stewart of the Daily Show went on Crossfire the other night, and instead of doing "comedy," he eviscerated them with an in-their-face critique. Watch the streaming video or read the transcript, although you really should watch it. It is the best television of the year.

Favorite moment: Stewart, to Tucker Carlson:"This is theatre. How old are you?" Carlson: "Thirty five." Stewart: "And you wear a bow tie."

Jon Stewart, my new hero. I wonder if you can get an Emmy for a talk show guest appearance?

Posted at 16:43 by Randy Kirchhof   [Permalink]   [Reload all]   [E-mail]


Thu, 14 Oct 2004

An Open Letter

From Andrew Tobias' website. This is signed by scores of business school professors -- 56 from Harvard Business School alone.

October 4, 2004

Dear Mr. President:

 

As professors of economics and business, we are concerned that U.S. economic policy has taken a dangerous turn under your stewardship. Nearly every major economic indicator has deteriorated since you took office in January 2001. Real GDP growth during your term is the lowest of any presidential term in recent memory. Total non-farm employment has contracted and the unemployment rate has increased. Bankruptcies are up sharply, as is our dependence on foreign capital to finance an exploding current account deficit. All three major stock indexes are lower now than at the time of your inauguration. The percentage of Americans in poverty has increased, real median income has declined, and income inequality has grown.

 

The data make clear that your policy of slashing taxes primarily for those at the upper reaches of the income distribution has not worked. The fiscal reversal that has taken place under your leadership is so extreme that it would have been unimaginable just a few years ago. The federal budget surplus of over $200 billion that we enjoyed in the year 2000 has disappeared, and we are now facing a massive annual deficit of over $400 billion. In fact, if transfers from the Social Security trust fund are excluded, the federal deficit is even worse -- well in excess of a half a trillion dollars this year alone. Although some members of your administration have suggested that the mountain of new debt accumulated on your watch is mainly the consequence of 9-11 and the war on terror, budget experts know that this is simply false. Your economic policies have played a significant role in driving this fiscal collapse. And the economic proposals you have suggested for a potential second term from diverting Social Security contributions into private accounts to making the recent tax cuts permanent only promise to exacerbate the crisis by further narrowing the federal revenue base.

 

These sorts of deficits crowd out private investment and are politically addictive. They also place a heavy burden on monetary policy and create additional pressure for higher interest rates by stoking inflationary expectations. If your economic advisers are telling you that these deficits can be defeated through further reductions in tax rates, then you need new advisers. More robust economic growth could certainly help, but nearly every one of your administrations economic forecasts both before and after 9-11 has proved overly optimistic. Expenditure cuts could be part of the answer, but your record so far has been one of increasing expenditures, not reducing them.

 

What is called for, we believe, is a dramatic reorientation of fiscal policy, including substantial reversals of your tax policy. Running a budget deficit in response to a short bout of recession is one thing. But running large structural deficits over a long period is something else entirely. We therefore urge you to consider the fiscal realities we now face and the substantial burden they are placing on our economy.

 

We also urge you to consider the distributional consequences of your policies. Under your administration, the income gap between the most affluent Americans and everyone else has widened. Although the latest data reveal that real household incomes have dropped across the board since you took office, low and middle income households have experienced steeper declines than upper income households. To be sure, the general phenomenon of mounting inequality preceded your administration, but it has continued (and, by some accounts, intensified) over the past three and a half years.

 

Some degree of inequality is inherent in any free market economy, creating positive incentives for economic and technological advancement. But when inequality becomes extreme, it can be socially corrosive and economically dysfunctional. Problems of this sort are visible throughout much of the developing world. At the moment, the most commonly accepted measure of inequality the so-called Gini coefficient is far higher in the United States than in any other developed country and is continuing to move upward. We dont know where the breakpoint is for the U.S., but we would rather not find out. With all due respect, we believe your tax policy has exacerbated the problem of inequality in the United States, which has worrisome implications for the economy as a whole. We very much hope you will take this threat to our nation into account as you consider new fiscal approaches to address the nations most pressing economic problems.

 

Sensible and farsighted economic management requires true discipline, compassion, and courage not just slogans. Given the tenuous state of the American economy, we believe that the time for an honest assessment of the problem and for genuine corrective action is now. Ignoring the fiscal crisis that has taken hold during your presidency may seem politically appealing in the short run, but we fear it could ultimately prove disastrous. From a policy standpoint, the clear message is that more of the same wont work. The warning signs are already visible, and it is incumbent upon all of us to pay attention.

 

Respectfully submitted,

 

Francis Aguilar
Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Ramon J. Aldag
Glen A. Skillrud Family Chair in Business
School of Business, University of Wisconsin-Madison

 

Teresa M. Amabile
Edsel Bryant Ford Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Kenneth R. Andrews
David K. Donald Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

James E. Austin
Eliot I. Snider and Family Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Joseph L. Badaracco
John Shad Professor of Business Ethics
Harvard Business School

Lotte Bailyn
T. Wilson (1953) Professor of Management
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

George P. Baker
Herman C. Krannert Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Louis B. Barnes
John D. Black Professor, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

James N. Baron
Walter Kenneth Kilpatrick Professor of Organizational Behavior and Human Resources
Graduate School of Business, Stanford University

 

Jean M. Bartunek
Robert A. and Evelyn J. Ferris Chair, Professor of Organization Studies
Carroll School of Management, Boston College

 

Yehuda Bassock
Professor
Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California

 

Thomas A. Bausch
Professor
College of Business Administration, Marquette University

 

Max H. Bazerman
Jesse Isidor Straus Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Cynthia Beath
Professor Emeritus
McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin

 

Michael Beer
Cahners-Rabb Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Jack N. Behrman
Luther Hodges Distinguished Professor, Emeritus
Kenan-Flagler Business School, University of North Carolina

 

Norman A. Berg
MBA Class of 1958 Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Barbara Bird
Associate Professor of Management
Kogod School of Business, American University

 

John E. Bishop
Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Robert B. Bostrom
L. Edmund Rast Professor of Business
Terry College of Business, University of Georgia

 

Joseph L. Bower
Donald K. David Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Stephen P. Bradley
William Ziegler Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Arthur P. Brief
Lawrence Martin Professor of Business
Freeman School of Business, Tulane University

 

Philip Bromiley
Curtis L. Carlson Chair in Strategic Management
Carlson School of Management, University of Minnesota

 

Alfred D. Chandler
Isidor Straus Professor of Business History, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Chao C. Chen
Professor
Rutgers Business School, Rutgers University

 

Charles J. Corbett
Associate Professor of Operations Management and Environmental Management
UCLA Anderson School of Management

 

Thomas G. Cummings
Professor
Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California

 

Michael Cusumano
Sloan Management Review Distinguished Professor
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

Fariborz Damanpour
Professor
Rutgers Business School

 

Jose de la Torre
Dean, Chapman Graduate School of Business
Florida International University

 

John A. Deighton
Harold M. Brierley Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Rohit Deshpande
Sebastian S. Kresge Professor of Marketing
Harvard Business School

 

Nancy DiTomaso
Professor
Rutgers Business School--Newark and New Brunswick

Jane E. Dutton
Professor
University of Michigan Business School

 

Amy C. Edmondson
Professor
Harvard Business School

 

Benjamin C. Esty
Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Ronald F. Faria
Associate Professor
Daniels College of Business, University of Denver

 

Ann E. Feyerherm
Associate Professor of Organization and Management
Graziadio School of Business and Management, Pepperdine University

 

James A. Fitzsimmons
William H. Seay Centennial Professor of Business
McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin

 

James W. Fredrickson
Tom E. Nelson, Jr. Regents Professor of Business
McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin

 

Sherwood C. Frey, Jr.
Ethyl Corporation Professor of Business Administration
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia

 

Cynthia V. Fukami
Professor
Daniels College of Business, University of Denver

 

Pankaj Ghemawat
Jaime and Josefina Chua Tiampo Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Stephen M. Gilbert
Associate Professor
McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin

 

James R. Glenn, Jr.
Professor of Management
College of Business, San Francisco State University

 

Leslie E. Grayson
Isidore Horween Research Professor, Emeritus
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia

 

Jerry R. Green
Daniel A. Wells Professor of Political Economy,
John Leverett Professor in the University
Harvard Business School

 

Leonard Greenhalgh
Professor of Management
Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth

 

Douglas T. Hall
Professor of Organizational Behavior
Boston University School of Management

 

Donald C. Hambrick
Smeal Chaired Professor of Management
Smeal College of Business Administration, The Pennsylvania State University

 

Rebecca M. Henderson
Eastman Kodak LFM Professor
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

Linda A. Hill
Wallace Brett Donham Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Raymond Hogler
Professor of Management
College of Business, Colorado State University

 

Yasheng Huang
Associate Professor of International Management
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

Mariann Jelinek
The Richard C. Kraemer Professor of Business Strategy
School of Business, College of William & Mary

 

David B. Jemison
Foster Parker Centennial Professor of Management and Finance
McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin

 

John M. Jermier
Exide Professor of Sustainable Enterprise Research
College of Business, University of South Florida

 

Shulamit Kahn
Associate Professor
Boston University School of Management

 

Kate M. Kaiser
Associate Professor
College of Business, Marquette University

 

Rosabeth M. Kanter
Ernest L. Arbuckle Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Steven O. Kimbrough
Professor
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

 

Stephen J. Kobrin
Wurster Professor of Multinational Management
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

 

Thomas A. Kochan
George Maverick Bunker Professor of Work and Employment Relations
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

Nancy F. Koehn
James E. Robison Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Howard Kunreuther
Cecilia Yen Koo Professor of Decision Sciences and Public Policy
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

 

Rajiv Lal
Stanley Roth, Sr. Professor of Retailing
Harvard Business School

 

Theresa Lant
Associate Professor of Management
Stern School of Business, New York University

 

Paul R. Lawrence
Wallace Brett Donham Professor of Organizational Behavior, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Carrie R. Leana
Professor of Business Administration and of Public and International Affairs
Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh

 

Dorothy A. Leonard
William J. Abernathy Professor of Business Administration, Emerita
Harvard Business School

 

Herman B. Leonard
Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Donald R. Lessard
Epoch Foundation Professor of International Management
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

Daniel A. Levinthal
Julian Aresty Professor of Management and Economics
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

 

David Levy
Professor of Management
Department of Management, University of Massachusetts, Boston

 

E. Allan Lind
Thomas A. Finch Professor of Business Administration
Fuqua School of Business, Duke University

 

Richard M. Locke
Alvin J. Siteman Professor of Entrepreneurship and Political Science
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

George C. Lodge
Jaime and Josefina Chua Tiampo Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Jay W. Lorsch
Louis E. Kirstein Professor of Human Relations
Harvard Business School

 

Michael Magazine
Professor
College of Business, University of Cincinnati

 

Michael R. Manning
Professor of Management
College of Business Administration & Economics, New Mexico State University

 

Theodore R. Marmor
Professor of Public Policy and Management
Yale School of Management and Political Science Department

 

Joanne Martin
Merrill Professor of Organizational Behavior
Graduate School of Business, Stanford University

 

Thomas K. McCraw
Isidor Straus Professor of Business History
Harvard Business School

 

Anita M. McGahan
Professor and Everett W. Lord Distinguished Faculty Scholar
Boston University School of Management

 

Kathleen L. McGinn
Cahners-Rabb Professor of Social and Organizational Psychology
Harvard Business School

 

Robert P. McGowan
Professor
Daniels College of Business, University of Denver

 

Robert C. Merton
John and Natty McArthur University Professor
Harvard Business School

 

David M. Messick
Kaplan Professor of Ethics and Decision in Management
Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University

 

Alan D. Meyer
Charles H. Lundquist Professor of Entrepreneurial Management
Lundquist College of Business, University of Oregon

 

Marshall W. Meyer
Richard A. Sapp Professor, Professor of Management and Sociology
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

 

Richard F. Meyer
Thomas D. Casserly, Jr. Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Ian Mitroff
Harold Quinton Distinguished Professor of Business Policy
Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California

 

Cynthia A. Montgomery
Timken Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

David A. Moss
John G. McLean Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

J. Keith Murnighan
Harold H. Hines, Jr. Distinguished Professor of Risk Management
Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University

 

Steven Nahmias
Professor
Leavey School of Business, Santa Clara University

 

Barry Nalebuff
Milton Steinbach Professor of Management
Yale School of Management

 

Das Narayandas
Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Paul Newman
Clark W. Thompson, Jr. Chair in Accounting
McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin

 

William Ocasio
John L. and Helen Kellogg Distinguished Professor of Management and Organizations
Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University

 

Paul Osterman
NTU Professor of Human Resources and Management
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

Lynn S. Paine
John G. McLean Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Johannes M. Pennings
Marie and Joseph Melone Professor
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

 

Margaret Peteraf
Associate Professor of Business Administration
Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth

 

Joel Podolny
Novartis Professor of Leadership and Management
Harvard Business School

 

John W. Pratt
William Ziegler Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Drazen Prelec
Professor of Management Science
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

Keith G. Provan
Eller Professor of Public Administration & Policy
Eller College of Management, University of Arizona

 

Ronald E. Purser
Professor of Management
College of Business, San Francisco State University

 

Roy Radner
L. N. Stern School Professor of Business
Stern School of Business, New York University

 

Daniel Raff
Associate Professor of Management
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

 

Howard Raiffa
Frank Plumpton Ramsey Professor of Managerial Economics, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

V. Kasturi Rangan
Malcolm P. McNair Professor of Marketing
Harvard Business School

 

Stefan H. Robock
R. D. Calkins Professor of International Business, Emeritus
Graduate School of Business, Columbia University

 

David Rogers
Professor Emeritus of Management and Sociology
Stern School of Business, New York University

 

John W. Rosenblum
Dean Emeritus
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia

 

Lori Rosenkopf
Associate Professor of Management
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

 

Walter J. Salmon
Stanley Roth, Sr. Professor of Retailing, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Carol Saunders
Professor of MIS
College of Business Administration, University of Central Florida

 

Melissa A. Schilling
Associate Professor
Stern School of Business, New York University

 

Arthur Schleifer, Jr.
James J. Hill Professor of Business Administration, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Claudia B. Schoonhoven
Professor of Organization and Strategy
Graduate School of Management, University of California, Irvine

 

Bruce R. Scott
Paul W. Cherington Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Michael S. Scott-Morton
Jay W. Forester Professor of Management, Emeritus
MIT Sloan School of Management

 

James K. Sebenius
Gordon Donaldson Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

Benson P. Shapiro
Malcolm P. McNair Professor of Marketing, Emeritus
Harvard Business School

 

Roy D. Shapiro
Philip Caldwell Professor of Business Administration
Harvard Business School

 

William F. Sharpe
STANCO 25 Professor of Finance, Emeritus
Stanford Business School

 

William W. Sihler
Ronald E. Trzcinski Professor of Business Administration
Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia