NOTE: this blog is no longer active as of 12/07. New one: http://blog.kirchhof.com
Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum viditur.
Was just reading my daily dose of the always interesting Marshall Wittman blog; today is a good read, but here's my take.
They may be right. But my gut tells me that the Republican party won't be able to get a dogcatcher elected for at least a couple of election cycles after this has played out. We're not even to the seventh inning stretch of this scandal series. Hell, we're in the third inning. Slate's Weisberg makes some interesting points, but I think that he's being a bit over-optimistic.
To my mind, there's another calculus at work here: Rove doesn't have the toolset for this situation. He is an expert at demolition, not a general contractor. Combined with the nascent attention of the American People to his techniques -- the lies, the smears, the Orwellian double-speak, the staged photo-ops, the crab-walks, the bait & switches, the cherry-picking, the absurd sloganeering and triumphalism -- well, this is going to be a very rough ride. Bush doesn't look "manly" talking to troops/old folks/cameras these days; he looks like the silly and small and incompetent little trust fund frat rat that he is. They don't like those kind of people in Peoria.
If McCain wants to be the reformer-in-chief, he'd be well advised to quit the Republican party, asap. The alternative for him would seem to be -- to my eye, anyway -- the political equivalent of chief engineer on the Titanic. Sure, he can get the nomination -- it's his turn, for real -- but nomination for what? Historical laughingstock? The new Alf Landon? The party's *current* negatives are almost as bad as POTUS, and they will not be getting any good news, at all, for quite a long time. Maybe they'll be able to push through a resolution saying that "rainbows are pretty" between now and the election next year. Maybe.
Rove's Seventh Circle of Hell has arrived: an engaged alert electorate, increasingly on to him, exactly when his horse goes lame. And the party that has been so obsequious to his every outrage for five years, dutifully mouthing every talking point, is effectively welded to POTUS now. Hell, we can run a successful opposition campaign based solely on "Meet the Press" video clips at this point. And that, sadly, includes McCain's. Rove is what we in the geekery business call a "single point of failure", e.g. the one place that can take the whole operation off line. And as far as I can tell, there's never been a plan "b." Additionally, and happily, Reid and the Dems are actually growing some testicles, right on time. Strange, but welcome nonetheless.
Napoleon Bonaparte had some good advice that Rove somehow managed to miss: "You must not fight too often with one enemy, or you will teach him all your art of war."
It's becoming a marvelous time to be an intelligent, proudly progressive, fiscally conservative and socially moderate liberal. But we have more than a few of those already available, and the line forms to the rear.
Tell you what. The Republicans can have the dogcatcher positions; I wouldn't want to be totally unreasonable. To paraphrase and extend my wise friend Mary: "Vote for Democratic politicians, Libertarian judges, and Republican tax assessors."
Posted at 13:22 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
The coolest, funniest, most self-referential beer ad in the history of the art. For Carlton Draught, from down under. Quicktime here.
Posted at 11:57 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
From the Post:
Kenneth Y. Tomlinson, who sparked controversy by asserting that programs carried by public broadcasters have a liberal bias, resigned yesterday from the board of the Corporation for Public Broadcasting a day after the agency's inspector general delivered a report apparently critical of his leadership.Tomlinson, a staunch conservative who was CPB's chairman until September, brought unprecedented attention to his agency by publicly criticizing the alleged political favoritism of news programs, primarily those carried by the Public Broadcasting Service. CPB wields great influence over public radio and TV stations through its distribution of about $400 million in federal funding each year.
I know that this isn't on everyone's radar screen, but it's exceedingly good news. And there's no political power available to shoehorn another ideological hack to fill the position. You can take NPR off of the endangered species list for now.
Posted at 10:39 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]
37% approval and falling. Great graphic here.
Something that I don't see anyone saying: this is going to be very hard to for Bush/Rove to pull out of. The American people sometimes are slow to comprehend, but when they do, they stay. They now see the dirty tricks, the stupid photo ops, the Orwellian doublespeak (e.g.,. "Clear Skies Initiative", "Healthy Forests Initiative") and the genuine ineptitude of Clown In Chief. Rove has no toolbox to deal with this; he only knows how to destroy. All of his tactics are beginning to produce negative results, and I for one am watching gleefully.
A bunch of criminals. Nothing more. And they are destroying the Washington establishment and the Republican party, right on time, as predicted.
Good.
Posted at 10:02 by Randy Kirchhof [Permalink] [Reload all] [E-mail]